FIFA World Cup 2026

South Korea vs South Africa Prediction

June 24, 2026

5,000 Monte Carlo simulations

South Korea vs South Africa prediction for June 24, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 5,000 game iterations and projects South Africa 0.79 - South Korea 1.54. South Korea is favored with a 55.1% win probability. Expected total goals: 2.3..

South Africa
0.79
Projected Goals
VS 2.3 total
South Korea
1.54
Projected Goals
Match Outcome Probabilities
19.2%
26%
55.1%
South AfricaDrawSouth Korea

Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile

South Korea
029
South Africa
018
FINALSouth Africa 1 — South Korea 0
Projected
South Africa 0.79 — South Korea 1.54
Actual
South Africa 1 — South Korea 0

Edge Analysis

Moneyline
South Korea 55.1%
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Total
2.3
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets FIFA World Cup 2026 Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 5,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →

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