Sweden vs France prediction for June 30, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 5,000 game iterations and projects France 2.52 - Sweden 1.0. France is favored with a 73.9% win probability. Expected total goals: 3.5..
France
2.52
Projected Goals
VS
3.5 total
Sweden
1.0
Projected Goals
Match Outcome Probabilities
FranceDrawSweden
Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile
Sweden
018
France
0310
Projected
France 2.52 — Sweden 1.0
Actual
France 3 — Sweden 0
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
France 73.9%
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Total
3.5
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets FIFA World Cup 2026 Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 5,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →