Uruguay vs Saudi Arabia prediction for June 15, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 5,000 game iterations and projects Saudi Arabia 0.9 - Uruguay 1.88. Saudi Arabia is favored with a 38.1% win probability. Expected total goals: 2.8..
Saudi Arabia
0.9
Projected Goals
VS
2.8 total
Uruguay
1.88
Projected Goals
Match Outcome Probabilities
Saudi ArabiaDrawUruguay
Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile
Uruguay
029
Saudi Arabia
018
Projected
Saudi Arabia 0.9 — Uruguay 1.88
Actual
Saudi Arabia 1 — Uruguay 1
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Saudi Arabia 38.1%
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Total
2.8
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets FIFA World Cup 2026 Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 5,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →