Week 38: Free -2.3u, Premium -6.2u

June 22 — June 28, 2026 | Tough Week (Free)

Week 38 results (June 22 — June 28, 2026): Olympus Bets publishes two tiers and reports each separately. Free tier (publicly published) went 5-10 (33.3% WR, -2.32u) across 15 picks. Premium tier (subscriber-only) went 2-5 (28.6% WR, -6.21u) across 7 picks — currently in active recalibration as new tier-divergence and drain gates ramp up. All picks tracked transparently on the live track record.

All Tiers Combined

Every picks Olympus Bets published this week — free + premium combined.

7-15 | -8.53u

31.8% Win Rate | 22 Picks | -37.1% ROI

LeagueRecordWin RateUnits
GOLF3-350.0%+0.38u
WC2-433.3%-0.99u
MLB1-233.3%-1.40u
SOCCER0-10.0%-1.50u
TENNIS1-516.7%-5.02u

Best Pick

Meissner, Mac Round H2H vs Theegala, Sahith (+120) (GOLF)

Meissner, Mac vs Theegala, Sahith (R1) | SOLID | +1.80u

Result: WIN | Final: None-None

Learning Moment

Matthew Boyd OVER 4.5 Ks (MLB) — CHC @ NYM | -2.00u
Final: None-None. The model identified value but variance prevailed — a reminder that even well-sized bets lose roughly 40-50% of the time.

Free Tier (Publicly Published)

Open daily picks anyone can see and verify.

5-10 | -2.32u

33.3% Win Rate | 15 Picks | -21.1% ROI

LeagueRecordWin RateUnits
GOLF2-340.0%-0.31u
MLB0-10.0%-0.50u
TENNIS1-233.3%-0.52u
WC2-433.3%-0.99u

Best Pick

Meissner, Mac Round H2H vs Theegala, Sahith (+120) (GOLF)

Meissner, Mac vs Theegala, Sahith (R1) | SOLID | +1.80u

Result: WIN | Final: None-None

Learning Moment

Kim, Si Woo Round H2H vs McCarthy, Denny (-195) (GOLF) — Kim, Si Woo vs McCarthy, Denny (R1) | -1.00u
Final: None-None. The model identified value but variance prevailed — a reminder that even well-sized bets lose roughly 40-50% of the time.

Premium Tier (Subscriber-Only — in active recalibration)

The subscriber product. We're publishing this transparently while the new tier-divergence and standalone-drain gates ramp up.

2-5 | -6.21u

28.6% Win Rate | 7 Picks | -51.8% ROI

LeagueRecordWin RateUnits
GOLF1-0100.0%+0.69u
MLB1-150.0%-0.90u
SOCCER0-10.0%-1.50u
TENNIS0-30.0%-4.50u

Best Pick

Tatsuya Imai OVER 5.5 Ks (MLB)

HOU @ DET | SOLID | +1.10u

Result: WIN | Final: None-None

Learning Moment

Matthew Boyd OVER 4.5 Ks (MLB) — CHC @ NYM | -2.00u
Final: None-None. The model identified value but variance prevailed — a reminder that even well-sized bets lose roughly 40-50% of the time.

Season-to-Date

54.0%
Free Win Rate
+22.9u
Free Units
895
Free Picks
53.3%
Premium WR (recal.)
+3.4u
Premium Units
738
Premium Picks

Season-to-date totals from the canonical performance split (as of 2026-06-29T10:10:02.573710). Combined picks: 1633.

Get Premium Access

Full access to all picks, detailed writeups, and Kelly-optimized sizing. View the complete track record first.

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