North Texas vs Tulsa prediction for October 1, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Tulsa 24.0 - North Texas 30.2. North Texas is favored with a 65.6% win probability. The spread is -1.5 and the total is 57.5.
Tulsa
24.0
Projected Score
VS
O/U 57.5
North Texas
30.2
Projected Score
Win Probability
TulsaNorth Texas
-1.5
Spread (Tulsa)
57.5
Total Line
10,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 78.1% (701 games)
Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile
North Texas
233037
Tulsa
172431
Market Lines
Spread
Tulsa -1.5
Total
57.5
Moneyline
-120
Away +100
Model Edge & Sizing
Edge Analysis
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets College Football Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →