Premium is the full research layer, not a picks feed: qualified markets across every active league are evaluated by purpose-built models, with the complete published board, capped unit sizing, quantitative writeups, start times, and best-price context. Free and premium results remain separated on the permanent public ledger.
53.2%
Free Tier Win Rate (public record)
+22.36u
Free Tier Units (verifiable ledger)
2,256
Graded Picks Tracked
Every pick is graded on an immutable public ledger. Premium-tier numbers are
reported separately and unfiltered on the track record page.
Choose Your Plan
Free Tier
$0/mo
- Curated daily projections (2-4 per day)
- Basic simulation results
- Full track record access
- Methodology documentation
- Monte Carlo guide and Kelly calculator
View Free Projections
Most Popular
Premium
$1 first week
then $15/week · $39/month · $99 season pass (3 mo) · $349/year
- Complete published board across active leagues
- Detailed game-by-game writeups
- Complete Monte Carlo simulation outputs
- Capped Kelly Criterion unit sizing
- Real-time injury integration
- Spread, moneyline, and total picks
- Bayesian-calibrated probabilities
- Best-price and captured-line context
- Start times and board freshness timestamps
- Free and premium results on the public ledger
- Priority updates and notifications
- Cancel anytime, no contracts
Start Premium — $1 First Week
Built for AI Agents
The Olympus MCP server is a product in its own right: point any MCP-capable client or agent SDK at https://app.olympus-bets.com/mcp — Claude Code, the Anthropic API tool runner, Cursor, Windsurf, or your own agent. No Claude Pro or ChatGPT subscription required. Start free: 15 public research tools are anonymous and permanent. When your agent needs the premium layer — model-vs-market edges, pick selections, projection history — MCP Pro is the full agent tier, and agents can fetch plans and checkout links in-band via get_subscription_options. Existing Premium members already have MCP Connect at no added cost.
Bundled with website Premium — members already have it
MCP Connect
Included with any active Premium plan
- 1,000 weighted units each month; no overage charges
get_premium_slate for today’s complete premium board
get_premium_game_recommendation for selection, price, edge, sizing, and analysis
- 15 public server tools plus both protected current-slate tools
- Secure bearer token for compatible AI agents and automations
- Included with every active website Premium plan
Choose a Premium plan
The full agent tier
MCP Pro
Monthly or annual
- Complete on its own for agent workflows — built for AI agents and their operators
- 10,000 weighted units each month; no overage charges
- Everything in MCP Connect
- All 19 read-only server tools, including both Pro history tools
get_projection_history: full available normalized archive, including model-only and supported player-prop observations where coverage exists
get_premium_history: filterable 90-day resolved premium-pick research view
- Resolved outcomes and available closing-market context
- Website Premium included — no second membership
Choose your billing
Existing-member beta: active Premium members at launch receive the 10,000-unit MCP Pro beta while their current membership remains continuously active. No existing subscription is automatically changed, upgraded, or charged. MCP Pro billing begins only after a customer explicitly completes its separate checkout. There are no usage overage charges.
Read the MCP connection guide · Manage a member token
What Premium Includes
Full Pick Slate
Free users see a curated selection. Premium members get every pick our engines generate across NBA, NHL, CBB, NFL, MLB, Soccer, LoL, and more. On a busy day, that can mean 15 or more actionable edges.
Game-by-Game Writeups
Each premium pick comes with a detailed analysis explaining the edge: what the simulation found, why the line is mispriced, key matchup factors, and injury impacts. No generic "team X is hot" takes.
Kelly-Optimized Sizing
Every pick includes a unit recommendation derived from Kelly Criterion mathematics with league-specific caps. Our sizing accounts for Bayesian probability shrinkage to prevent overconfident wager recommendations.
How Premium Sizing Works Now
Since July 10, 2026, premium runs a concentration rule: full stake goes only to bet categories with a proven realized record, meaning a trailing-90-day category record that clears our thresholds or a GREEN profitability zone. Everything else runs at a reduced discovery stake (about a third of full) while it builds a record. We publish losing weeks too: see Model vs Market on the track record and the frozen weekly report cards.
Monte Carlo Simulation Details
See the full simulation output: win probabilities, margin distributions, spread cover rates, and total projections. Understand not just what to bet but why the number is what it is.
Real-Time Injury Integration
Our engines pull injury data from multiple sources (ESPN, RotoWire, league APIs) and re-simulate affected games. When a key player is ruled out, you see updated lines and edges, not stale pre-injury projections.
Olympus Oracle — Prediction-Market Intelligence
Oracle profiles Polymarket and Kalshi wallets on their resolved-trade history, classifies likely sharp flow, and cross-references whale consensus against our own Monte Carlo simulations. When independently sourced sharp money and an independently generated model edge agree, that convergence is a signal neither produces alone — and it is premium-only. How the mechanism works →
Active-League Coverage
Coverage follows the sports calendar rather than a fixed league-count promise. In-season boards can include MLB, WNBA, Golf, Tennis, LoL, and CS2; NBA, NHL, CBB, NFL, and CFB return with their schedules. Each active league uses a purpose-built engine and its own freshness gates.
Performance by the Numbers
All results are from tracked, published picks with verifiable outcomes. We publish every pick, including losses. View the full track record.
The Honest Version, Before You Pay
As of 2026-08-08: the free tier is at +22.36u (53.2% over 1,531 graded picks) all-time, while the premium tier is at -32.79u (52.2% over 725 graded picks) all-time — premium's higher-stakes sizing amplified a selection problem we have been re-engineering in public since July 2026. The 30 days ending Aug 7, 2026 graded +5.3 units at 56.2% across 371 picks under the rebuilt selection rules, which require every bet category to earn publication across two independent out-of-sample windows. Every number here is dated, append-only, and independently checkable on the public ledger — including the losing stretches. If a tout page would never show you the premium number above, that is exactly why we do.
College Basketball (CBB)
The Savant Ultra v5.0.1 engine uses 5-on-5 player simulation, adaptive ATS regime thresholds, conference-strength adjustments, and EvanMiya BPR inputs. Current CBB results—wins and losses—appear only on the dated live track record.
NHL
The V19.1 Pinnacle engine integrates MoneyPuck expected goals, real danger zone data, and the FOLLOW/FADE hybrid strategy that systematically corrects for positional biases. Per-zone goalie modeling and Bayesian shrinkage keep probabilities calibrated through streaky stretches.
NBA
Possession MC V5.0.2 simulates every possession with Beta-distributed shooting, score-state dynamics, 13-player rotations, and pace-duration compensation. The engine integrates multi-source injury validation and categorical performance weights.
Frequently Asked Questions
Can I cancel anytime?
Yes. There are no contracts and no cancellation fees. Your subscription renews on your plan’s cycle (weekly, monthly, seasonal, or annual). Cancel through your account and you will retain access until the end of your current billing period.
How does billing work?
We use Stripe for secure payment processing. The $1 trial gives 7 days of full premium access, then renews at $15/week unless you cancel; the trial is one per customer. Prefer fewer renewals? Choose $39/month, the $99 Season Pass (3 months, save 15%), or $349/year (save 25%). Stripe handles all card data. We never see or store your payment information.
Will Premium automatically bill me for MCP Pro?
No. Active Premium includes MCP Connect at no added charge. Existing launch members receive the larger MCP Pro beta grant without a billing change. An MCP Pro subscription starts only when you deliberately complete its separate Stripe checkout, and MCP usage never creates overage charges.
What happens after I subscribe?
You will receive an access code via email within minutes. Enter this code on the platform to unlock premium projections, writeups, and simulation details. The code works across all devices and sessions.
Is the free tier really free?
Yes. No credit card required. You get curated daily projections, basic simulation results, the full track record, and access to all educational resources including the Monte Carlo guide and Kelly calculator. The free tier is not a trial. It is a permanent feature.
How many picks do premium members get?
Volume varies by day and by which leagues are in season. Premium exposes the complete board of qualified projections rather than filling a quota, so some days have several opportunities and others have fewer. The board shows start times and freshness context for every published projection.
Do you guarantee profits?
No. Sports betting involves risk and no model can guarantee profits. What we guarantee is transparency: you will see the exact methodology, every historical pick, and honest performance reporting. Our edge is mathematical, not magical, and variance is real.