STATE vs Ursa prediction for May 1, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 2,500 game iterations and projects Ursa 2 - STATE 0. Ursa is favored with a 63.2% win probability.
Ursa
2
Projected Score
VS
STATE
0
Projected Score
Win Probability
UrsaSTATE
N/A
Spread
N/A
Total Line
2,500
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 64.5% (1,139 games)
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Ursa 63.2%
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets Counter-Strike 2 Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 2,500 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →