Bezuidenhout, Christiaan vs Grillo, Emiliano prediction for July 1, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Grillo, Emiliano 83 - Bezuidenhout, Christiaan 77. Bezuidenhout, Christiaan is favored with a 59.7% win probability. The spread is 0.47.
Grillo, Emiliano
+0.10
Strokes Gained / Round
VS
H2H • John Deere Classic
Bezuidenhout, Christiaan
+0.58
Strokes Gained / Round
Head-to-Head Win Probability
Grillo, EmilianoBezuidenhout, Christiaan
-124
Best Odds
+7.9%
Edge
1.0u MEDIUM
Sizing
Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile
Bezuidenhout, Christiaan
707784
Grillo, Emiliano
768390
Tournament Context
Event
John Deere Classic
Course
TPC Deere Run
Field
144 players
Wind
14 mph
Temp
92°F
Conditions
harder (+0.8)
Player Profile — Bezuidenhout, Christiaan
Strokes Gained
+0.58/round
Above Avg
Course Fit
poor
-0.044 SG adj
Expected Finish
77th / 144
Matchup Analysis
Bezuidenhout, Christiaan
+0.58 SG
EF 77th
Skill Gap
+0.47 SG/round
meaningful edge for Bezuidenhout, Christiaan
Grillo, Emiliano
+0.10 SG
EF 83th · Tour Avg
Edge Breakdown
Our Model
59.7%
Books Say
55.4%
Edge
+7.9%
Bezuidenhout, Christiaan vs Grillo, Emiliano: Model gives Bezuidenhout, Christiaan 59.7% win probability vs 55.4% implied (+7.9% edge). Skill advantage: +0.47 SG/round. Expected finish: 77.
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Bezuidenhout, Christiaan 59.7%
+7.9 pts
Spread
+0.5
+7.9 pts
More Projections Today
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets PGA Tour Golf Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →