Clanton, Luke vs Fishburn, Patrick prediction for July 1, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Fishburn, Patrick 99 - Clanton, Luke 101. Clanton, Luke is favored with a 59.5% win probability. The spread is -0.36.
Fishburn, Patrick
-0.14
Strokes Gained / Round
VS
H2H • John Deere Classic
Clanton, Luke
-0.50
Strokes Gained / Round
Head-to-Head Win Probability
Fishburn, PatrickClanton, Luke
-103
Best Odds
+17.2%
Edge
1.5u HIGH
Sizing
Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile
Clanton, Luke
94101108
Fishburn, Patrick
9299106
Tournament Context
Event
John Deere Classic
Course
TPC Deere Run
Field
144 players
Wind
14 mph
Temp
92°F
Conditions
harder (+0.8)
Player Profile — Clanton, Luke
Strokes Gained
-0.50/round
Below Avg
Course Fit
neutral
+0.126 SG adj
Expected Finish
101th / 144
Matchup Analysis
Clanton, Luke
-0.50 SG
EF 101th
Skill Gap
-0.36 SG/round
tight edge for Fishburn, Patrick
Fishburn, Patrick
-0.14 SG
EF 99th · Below Avg
Edge Breakdown
Our Model
59.5%
Books Say
50.7%
Edge
+17.2%
Clanton, Luke vs Fishburn, Patrick: Model gives Clanton, Luke 59.5% win probability vs 50.7% implied (+17.2% edge). Skill advantage: -0.36 SG/round. Expected finish: 101.
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Clanton, Luke 59.5%
+17.2 pts
Spread
-0.4
+17.2 pts
More Projections Today
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets PGA Tour Golf Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →