PGA Tour Golf

Bhatia, Akshay vs Lee, Min Woo Prediction

May 2, 2026

10,000 Monte Carlo simulations

Bhatia, Akshay vs Lee, Min Woo prediction for May 2, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Lee, Min Woo 26 - Bhatia, Akshay 22. Bhatia, Akshay is favored with a 55.8% win probability. The spread is 0.14.

Lee, Min Woo
+1.08
Strokes Gained / Round
VS H2H • Cadillac Championship
Bhatia, Akshay
+1.21
Strokes Gained / Round
Head-to-Head Win Probability
44.2%
55.8%
Lee, Min WooBhatia, Akshay
+125
Best Odds
+25.6%
Edge
1.5u ELITE
Sizing
FINALLee, Min Woo (T18) def Bhatia, Akshay (CUT)

Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile

Bhatia, Akshay
152229
Lee, Min Woo
192633

Tournament Context

Event
Cadillac Championship
Course
Trump National Doral (Blue Monster)
Field
72 players

Player Profile — Bhatia, Akshay

Strokes Gained
+1.21/round
Tour Elite
Course Fit
poor
-0.215 SG adj
Expected Finish
22th / 72

Matchup Analysis

Bhatia, Akshay
+1.21 SG
EF 22th
Skill Gap
+0.14 SG/round
tight edge for Bhatia, Akshay
Lee, Min Woo
+1.08 SG
EF 26th · Tour Elite

Edge Breakdown

Our Model
55.8%
Books Say
44.4%
Edge
+25.6%

Bhatia, Akshay vs Lee, Min Woo: Model gives Bhatia, Akshay 55.8% win probability vs 44.4% implied (+25.6% edge). Skill advantage: +0.14 SG/round. Expected finish: 22.

Edge Analysis

Moneyline
Bhatia, Akshay 55.8%
+25.6 pts
Spread
+0.1
+25.6 pts
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets PGA Tour Golf Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →

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