Bridgeman, Jacob vs Poston, J.T. prediction for July 1, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Poston, J.T. 66 - Bridgeman, Jacob 66. Bridgeman, Jacob is favored with a 54.9% win probability. The spread is 0.1.
Poston, J.T.
+0.78
Strokes Gained / Round
VS
H2H • John Deere Classic
Bridgeman, Jacob
+0.89
Strokes Gained / Round
Head-to-Head Win Probability
Poston, J.T.Bridgeman, Jacob
-108
Best Odds
+5.7%
Edge
1.0u MEDIUM
Sizing
Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile
Bridgeman, Jacob
596673
Poston, J.T.
596673
Tournament Context
Event
John Deere Classic
Course
TPC Deere Run
Field
144 players
Wind
14 mph
Temp
92°F
Conditions
harder (+0.8)
Player Profile — Bridgeman, Jacob
Strokes Gained
+0.89/round
Above Avg
Course Fit
neutral
+0.076 SG adj
Expected Finish
66th / 144
Matchup Analysis
Bridgeman, Jacob
+0.89 SG
EF 66th
Skill Gap
+0.10 SG/round
tight edge for Bridgeman, Jacob
Poston, J.T.
+0.78 SG
EF 66th · Above Avg
Edge Breakdown
Our Model
54.9%
Books Say
51.9%
Edge
+5.7%
Bridgeman, Jacob vs Poston, J.T.: Model gives Bridgeman, Jacob 54.9% win probability vs 51.9% implied (+5.7% edge). Skill advantage: +0.10 SG/round. Expected finish: 66.
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Bridgeman, Jacob 54.9%
+5.7 pts
Spread
+0.1
+5.7 pts
More Projections Today
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets PGA Tour Golf Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →