Brown, Blades vs Yu, Kevin prediction for July 1, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Yu, Kevin 85 - Brown, Blades 84. Brown, Blades is favored with a 58.0% win probability. The spread is 0.07.
Yu, Kevin
+0.13
Strokes Gained / Round
VS
H2H • John Deere Classic
Brown, Blades
+0.20
Strokes Gained / Round
Head-to-Head Win Probability
Yu, KevinBrown, Blades
-111
Best Odds
+10.3%
Edge
1.0u HIGH
Sizing
Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile
Brown, Blades
778491
Yu, Kevin
788592
Tournament Context
Event
John Deere Classic
Course
TPC Deere Run
Field
144 players
Wind
14 mph
Temp
92°F
Conditions
harder (+0.8)
Player Profile — Brown, Blades
Strokes Gained
+0.20/round
Tour Avg
Course Fit
neutral
+0.120 SG adj
Expected Finish
84th / 144
Matchup Analysis
Brown, Blades
+0.20 SG
EF 84th
Skill Gap
+0.07 SG/round
essentially a coin flip
Yu, Kevin
+0.13 SG
EF 85th · Tour Avg
Edge Breakdown
Our Model
58.0%
Books Say
52.6%
Edge
+10.3%
Brown, Blades vs Yu, Kevin: Model gives Brown, Blades 58.0% win probability vs 52.6% implied (+10.3% edge). Expected finish: 84.
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Brown, Blades 58.0%
+10.3 pts
Spread
+0.1
+10.3 pts
More Projections Today
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets PGA Tour Golf Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →