PGA Tour Golf

Coody, Pierceson vs Kim, Tom Prediction

July 1, 2026

10,000 Monte Carlo simulations

Coody, Pierceson vs Kim, Tom prediction for July 1, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Kim, Tom 70 - Coody, Pierceson 73. Coody, Pierceson is favored with a 53.9% win probability. The spread is 0.04.

Kim, Tom
+0.57
Strokes Gained / Round
VS H2H • John Deere Classic
Coody, Pierceson
+0.61
Strokes Gained / Round
Head-to-Head Win Probability
46.1%
53.9%
Kim, TomCoody, Pierceson
+105
Best Odds
+10.5%
Edge
1.0u HIGH
Sizing

Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile

Coody, Pierceson
667380
Kim, Tom
637077

Tournament Context

Event
John Deere Classic
Course
TPC Deere Run
Field
144 players
Wind
14 mph
Temp
92°F
Conditions
harder (+0.8)

Player Profile — Coody, Pierceson

Strokes Gained
+0.61/round
Above Avg
Course Fit
neutral
+0.090 SG adj
Expected Finish
73th / 144

Matchup Analysis

Coody, Pierceson
+0.61 SG
EF 73th
Skill Gap
+0.04 SG/round
essentially a coin flip
Kim, Tom
+0.57 SG
EF 70th · Above Avg

Edge Breakdown

Our Model
53.9%
Books Say
48.8%
Edge
+10.5%

Coody, Pierceson vs Kim, Tom: Model gives Coody, Pierceson 53.9% win probability vs 48.8% implied (+10.5% edge). Expected finish: 73.

Edge Analysis

Moneyline
Coody, Pierceson 53.9%
+10.5 pts
Spread
+0.0
+10.5 pts
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets PGA Tour Golf Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →

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