Coody, Pierceson vs Thorbjornsen, Michael prediction for July 1, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Thorbjornsen, Michael 72 - Coody, Pierceson 73. Coody, Pierceson is favored with a 54.6% win probability. The spread is 0.14.
Thorbjornsen, Michael
+0.47
Strokes Gained / Round
VS
H2H • John Deere Classic
Coody, Pierceson
+0.61
Strokes Gained / Round
Head-to-Head Win Probability
Thorbjornsen, MichaelCoody, Pierceson
-101
Best Odds
+8.7%
Edge
1.0u MEDIUM
Sizing
Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile
Coody, Pierceson
667380
Thorbjornsen, Michael
657279
Tournament Context
Event
John Deere Classic
Course
TPC Deere Run
Field
144 players
Wind
14 mph
Temp
92°F
Conditions
harder (+0.8)
Player Profile — Coody, Pierceson
Strokes Gained
+0.61/round
Above Avg
Course Fit
neutral
+0.090 SG adj
Expected Finish
73th / 144
Matchup Analysis
Coody, Pierceson
+0.61 SG
EF 73th
Skill Gap
+0.14 SG/round
tight edge for Coody, Pierceson
Thorbjornsen, Michael
+0.47 SG
EF 72th · Tour Avg
Edge Breakdown
Our Model
54.6%
Books Say
50.2%
Edge
+8.7%
Coody, Pierceson vs Thorbjornsen, Michael: Model gives Coody, Pierceson 54.6% win probability vs 50.2% implied (+8.7% edge). Skill advantage: +0.14 SG/round. Expected finish: 73.
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Coody, Pierceson 54.6%
+8.7 pts
Spread
+0.1
+8.7 pts
More Projections Today
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets PGA Tour Golf Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →