Fisk, Steven vs Young, Carson prediction for July 1, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Young, Carson 91 - Fisk, Steven 88. Fisk, Steven is favored with a 60.1% win probability. The spread is 0.31.
Young, Carson
-0.14
Strokes Gained / Round
VS
H2H • John Deere Classic
Fisk, Steven
+0.17
Strokes Gained / Round
Head-to-Head Win Probability
Young, CarsonFisk, Steven
-123
Best Odds
+8.9%
Edge
1.0u MEDIUM
Sizing
Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile
Fisk, Steven
818895
Young, Carson
849198
Tournament Context
Event
John Deere Classic
Course
TPC Deere Run
Field
144 players
Wind
14 mph
Temp
92°F
Conditions
harder (+0.8)
Player Profile — Fisk, Steven
Strokes Gained
+0.17/round
Tour Avg
Course Fit
poor
-0.005 SG adj
Expected Finish
88th / 144
Matchup Analysis
Fisk, Steven
+0.17 SG
EF 88th
Skill Gap
+0.31 SG/round
tight edge for Fisk, Steven
Young, Carson
-0.14 SG
EF 91th · Below Avg
Edge Breakdown
Our Model
60.1%
Books Say
55.2%
Edge
+8.9%
Fisk, Steven vs Young, Carson: Model gives Fisk, Steven 60.1% win probability vs 55.2% implied (+8.9% edge). Skill advantage: +0.31 SG/round. Expected finish: 88.
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Fisk, Steven 60.1%
+8.9 pts
Spread
+0.3
+8.9 pts
More Projections Today
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets PGA Tour Golf Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →