PGA Tour Golf

Glover, Lucas vs Blanchet, Chandler Prediction

May 1, 2026

10,000 Monte Carlo simulations

Glover, Lucas vs Blanchet, Chandler prediction for May 1, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Blanchet, Chandler 26 - Glover, Lucas 23. Glover, Lucas is favored with a 53.6% win probability. The spread is -0.14.

Blanchet, Chandler
+0.19
Strokes Gained / Round
VS H2H • Cadillac Championship
Glover, Lucas
+0.06
Strokes Gained / Round
Head-to-Head Win Probability
46.4%
53.6%
Blanchet, ChandlerGlover, Lucas
+135
Best Odds
+26.0%
Edge
1.5u HIGH
Sizing
FINALBlanchet, Chandler (T44) def Glover, Lucas (CUT)

Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile

Glover, Lucas
162330
Blanchet, Chandler
192633

Tournament Context

Event
Cadillac Championship
Course
Trump National Doral (Blue Monster)
Field
72 players

Player Profile — Glover, Lucas

Strokes Gained
+0.06/round
Tour Avg
Course Fit
poor
-0.626 SG adj
Expected Finish
23th / 72

Matchup Analysis

Glover, Lucas
+0.06 SG
EF 23th
Skill Gap
-0.14 SG/round
tight edge for Blanchet, Chandler
Blanchet, Chandler
+0.19 SG
EF 26th · Tour Avg

Edge Breakdown

Our Model
53.6%
Books Say
42.5%
Edge
+26.0%

Glover, Lucas vs Blanchet, Chandler: Model gives Glover, Lucas 53.6% win probability vs 42.6% implied (+26.0% edge). Skill advantage: -0.14 SG/round. Expected finish: 23.

Edge Analysis

Moneyline
Glover, Lucas 53.6%
+26.0 pts
Spread
-0.1
+26.0 pts
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets PGA Tour Golf Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →

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