Greyserman, Max vs Hisatsune, Ryo prediction for July 1, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Hisatsune, Ryo 69 - Greyserman, Max 79. Greyserman, Max is favored with a 50.3% win probability. The spread is -0.04.
Hisatsune, Ryo
+0.39
Strokes Gained / Round
VS
H2H • John Deere Classic
Greyserman, Max
+0.35
Strokes Gained / Round
Head-to-Head Win Probability
Hisatsune, RyoGreyserman, Max
+110
Best Odds
+5.6%
Edge
1.0u MEDIUM
Sizing
Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile
Greyserman, Max
727986
Hisatsune, Ryo
626976
Tournament Context
Event
John Deere Classic
Course
TPC Deere Run
Field
144 players
Wind
14 mph
Temp
92°F
Conditions
harder (+0.8)
Player Profile — Greyserman, Max
Strokes Gained
+0.35/round
Tour Avg
Course Fit
neutral
+0.132 SG adj
Expected Finish
79th / 144
Matchup Analysis
Greyserman, Max
+0.35 SG
EF 79th
Skill Gap
-0.04 SG/round
essentially a coin flip
Hisatsune, Ryo
+0.39 SG
EF 69th · Tour Avg
Edge Breakdown
Our Model
50.3%
Books Say
47.6%
Edge
+5.6%
Greyserman, Max vs Hisatsune, Ryo: Model gives Greyserman, Max 50.3% win probability vs 47.6% implied (+5.6% edge). Expected finish: 79.
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Greyserman, Max 50.3%
+5.6 pts
Spread
-0.0
+5.6 pts
More Projections Today
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets PGA Tour Golf Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →