Higgo, Garrick vs Jaeger, Stephan prediction for July 1, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Jaeger, Stephan 99 - Higgo, Garrick 96. Higgo, Garrick is favored with a 61.8% win probability. The spread is -0.09.
Jaeger, Stephan
-0.07
Strokes Gained / Round
VS
H2H • John Deere Classic
Higgo, Garrick
-0.16
Strokes Gained / Round
Head-to-Head Win Probability
Jaeger, StephanHiggo, Garrick
-127
Best Odds
+10.5%
Edge
1.5u HIGH
Sizing
Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile
Higgo, Garrick
8996103
Jaeger, Stephan
9299106
Tournament Context
Event
John Deere Classic
Course
TPC Deere Run
Field
144 players
Wind
14 mph
Temp
92°F
Conditions
harder (+0.8)
Player Profile — Higgo, Garrick
Strokes Gained
-0.16/round
Below Avg
Course Fit
neutral
+0.034 SG adj
Expected Finish
96th / 144
Matchup Analysis
Higgo, Garrick
-0.16 SG
EF 96th
Skill Gap
-0.09 SG/round
essentially a coin flip
Jaeger, Stephan
-0.07 SG
EF 99th · Below Avg
Edge Breakdown
Our Model
61.8%
Books Say
56.0%
Edge
+10.5%
Higgo, Garrick vs Jaeger, Stephan: Model gives Higgo, Garrick 61.8% win probability vs 55.9% implied (+10.5% edge). Expected finish: 96.
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Higgo, Garrick 61.8%
+10.5 pts
Spread
-0.1
+10.5 pts
More Projections Today
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets PGA Tour Golf Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →