Knapp, Jake vs Scott, Adam prediction for May 1, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Scott, Adam 72 - Knapp, Jake 54. Knapp, Jake is favored with a 55.4% win probability. The spread is 0.11.
Scott, Adam
+1.13
Strokes Gained / Round
VS
H2H • Cadillac Championship
Knapp, Jake
+1.25
Strokes Gained / Round
Head-to-Head Win Probability
Scott, AdamKnapp, Jake
+109
Best Odds
+15.7%
Edge
1.5u ELITE
Sizing
Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile
Knapp, Jake
475461
Scott, Adam
657279
Tournament Context
Event
Cadillac Championship
Course
Trump National Doral (Blue Monster)
Field
72 players
Player Profile — Knapp, Jake
Strokes Gained
+1.25/round
Tour Elite
Course Fit
good
+0.183 SG adj
Expected Finish
54th / 72
Matchup Analysis
Knapp, Jake
+1.25 SG
EF 54th
Skill Gap
+0.11 SG/round
tight edge for Knapp, Jake
Scott, Adam
+1.13 SG
EF 72th · Tour Elite
Edge Breakdown
Our Model
55.4%
Books Say
47.9%
Edge
+15.7%
Knapp, Jake vs Scott, Adam: Model gives Knapp, Jake 55.4% win probability vs 47.8% implied (+15.7% edge). Skill advantage: +0.11 SG/round. Expected finish: 54.
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Knapp, Jake 55.4%
+15.7 pts
Spread
+0.1
+15.7 pts
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets PGA Tour Golf Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →