Lee, Min Woo vs McNealy, Maverick prediction for May 2, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects McNealy, Maverick 30 - Lee, Min Woo 26. Lee, Min Woo is favored with a 59.8% win probability. The spread is -0.28.
McNealy, Maverick
+1.37
Strokes Gained / Round
VS
H2H • Cadillac Championship
Lee, Min Woo
+1.08
Strokes Gained / Round
Head-to-Head Win Probability
McNealy, MaverickLee, Min Woo
-125
Best Odds
+7.7%
Edge
1.0u MEDIUM
Sizing
Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile
Lee, Min Woo
192633
McNealy, Maverick
233037
Tournament Context
Event
Cadillac Championship
Course
Trump National Doral (Blue Monster)
Field
72 players
Player Profile — Lee, Min Woo
Strokes Gained
+1.08/round
Tour Elite
Course Fit
excellent
+0.527 SG adj
Expected Finish
26th / 72
Matchup Analysis
Lee, Min Woo
+1.08 SG
EF 26th
Skill Gap
-0.28 SG/round
tight edge for McNealy, Maverick
McNealy, Maverick
+1.37 SG
EF 30th · Tour Elite
Edge Breakdown
Our Model
59.8%
Books Say
55.6%
Edge
+7.7%
Lee, Min Woo vs McNealy, Maverick: Model gives Lee, Min Woo 59.8% win probability vs 55.6% implied (+7.7% edge). Skill advantage: -0.28 SG/round. Expected finish: 26.
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Lee, Min Woo 59.8%
+7.7 pts
Spread
-0.3
+7.7 pts
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets PGA Tour Golf Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →