McGreevy, Max vs Moore, Taylor prediction for July 1, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Moore, Taylor 84 - McGreevy, Max 78. McGreevy, Max is favored with a 60.0% win probability. The spread is 0.14.
Moore, Taylor
+0.23
Strokes Gained / Round
VS
H2H • John Deere Classic
McGreevy, Max
+0.36
Strokes Gained / Round
Head-to-Head Win Probability
Moore, TaylorMcGreevy, Max
-131
Best Odds
+5.9%
Edge
1.0u MEDIUM
Sizing
Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile
McGreevy, Max
717885
Moore, Taylor
778491
Tournament Context
Event
John Deere Classic
Course
TPC Deere Run
Field
144 players
Wind
14 mph
Temp
92°F
Conditions
harder (+0.8)
Player Profile — McGreevy, Max
Strokes Gained
+0.36/round
Tour Avg
Course Fit
good
+0.181 SG adj
Expected Finish
78th / 144
Matchup Analysis
McGreevy, Max
+0.36 SG
EF 78th
Skill Gap
+0.14 SG/round
tight edge for McGreevy, Max
Moore, Taylor
+0.23 SG
EF 84th · Tour Avg
Edge Breakdown
Our Model
60.0%
Books Say
56.7%
Edge
+5.9%
McGreevy, Max vs Moore, Taylor: Model gives McGreevy, Max 60.0% win probability vs 56.7% implied (+5.9% edge). Skill advantage: +0.14 SG/round. Expected finish: 78.
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
McGreevy, Max 60.0%
+5.9 pts
Spread
+0.1
+5.9 pts
More Projections Today
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets PGA Tour Golf Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →