Mitchell, Keith vs Bradley, Keegan prediction for July 1, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Bradley, Keegan 60 - Mitchell, Keith 60. Mitchell, Keith is favored with a 53.6% win probability. The spread is -0.05.
Bradley, Keegan
+1.07
Strokes Gained / Round
VS
H2H • John Deere Classic
Mitchell, Keith
+1.01
Strokes Gained / Round
Head-to-Head Win Probability
Bradley, KeeganMitchell, Keith
+100
Best Odds
+10.3%
Edge
1.0u HIGH
Sizing
Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile
Mitchell, Keith
536067
Bradley, Keegan
536067
Tournament Context
Event
John Deere Classic
Course
TPC Deere Run
Field
144 players
Wind
14 mph
Temp
92°F
Conditions
harder (+0.8)
Player Profile — Mitchell, Keith
Strokes Gained
+1.01/round
Tour Elite
Course Fit
neutral
+0.103 SG adj
Expected Finish
60th / 144
Matchup Analysis
Mitchell, Keith
+1.01 SG
EF 60th
Skill Gap
-0.05 SG/round
essentially a coin flip
Bradley, Keegan
+1.07 SG
EF 60th · Tour Elite
Edge Breakdown
Our Model
53.6%
Books Say
50.0%
Edge
+10.3%
Mitchell, Keith vs Bradley, Keegan: Model gives Mitchell, Keith 53.6% win probability vs 50.0% implied (+7.3% edge). Expected finish: 60. AI: strong recent form; course specialist.
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Mitchell, Keith 53.6%
+10.3 pts
Spread
-0.1
+10.3 pts
More Projections Today
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets PGA Tour Golf Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →