Stout, Preston vs Rodgers, Patrick prediction for July 1, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Rodgers, Patrick 92 - Stout, Preston 93. Stout, Preston is favored with a 58.3% win probability. The spread is -0.14.
Rodgers, Patrick
+0.02
Strokes Gained / Round
VS
H2H • John Deere Classic
Stout, Preston
-0.13
Strokes Gained / Round
Head-to-Head Win Probability
Rodgers, PatrickStout, Preston
-109
Best Odds
+11.8%
Edge
1.5u HIGH
Sizing
Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile
Stout, Preston
8693100
Rodgers, Patrick
859299
Tournament Context
Event
John Deere Classic
Course
TPC Deere Run
Field
144 players
Wind
14 mph
Temp
92°F
Conditions
harder (+0.8)
Player Profile — Stout, Preston
Strokes Gained
-0.13/round
Below Avg
Course Fit
neutral
+0.126 SG adj
Expected Finish
93th / 144
Matchup Analysis
Stout, Preston
-0.13 SG
EF 93th
Skill Gap
-0.14 SG/round
tight edge for Rodgers, Patrick
Rodgers, Patrick
+0.02 SG
EF 92th · Tour Avg
Edge Breakdown
Our Model
58.3%
Books Say
52.1%
Edge
+11.8%
Stout, Preston vs Rodgers, Patrick: Model gives Stout, Preston 58.3% win probability vs 52.2% implied (+11.8% edge). Skill advantage: -0.14 SG/round. Expected finish: 93.
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Stout, Preston 58.3%
+11.8 pts
Spread
-0.1
+11.8 pts
More Projections Today
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets PGA Tour Golf Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →