Straka, Sepp vs Woodland, Gary prediction for May 2, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Woodland, Gary 9 - Straka, Sepp 7. Straka, Sepp is favored with a 58.1% win probability. The spread is 0.31.
Woodland, Gary
+0.69
Strokes Gained / Round
VS
H2H • Cadillac Championship
Straka, Sepp
+0.99
Strokes Gained / Round
Head-to-Head Win Probability
Woodland, GaryStraka, Sepp
-112
Best Odds
+10.0%
Edge
1.0u HIGH
Sizing
Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile
Straka, Sepp
0714
Woodland, Gary
2916
Tournament Context
Event
Cadillac Championship
Course
Trump National Doral (Blue Monster)
Field
72 players
Player Profile — Straka, Sepp
Strokes Gained
+0.99/round
Above Avg
Course Fit
poor
-0.098 SG adj
Expected Finish
7th / 72
Matchup Analysis
Straka, Sepp
+0.99 SG
EF 7th
Skill Gap
+0.31 SG/round
tight edge for Straka, Sepp
Woodland, Gary
+0.69 SG
EF 9th · Above Avg
Edge Breakdown
Our Model
58.1%
Books Say
52.8%
Edge
+10.0%
Straka, Sepp vs Woodland, Gary: Model gives Straka, Sepp 58.1% win probability vs 52.8% implied (+10.0% edge). Skill advantage: +0.31 SG/round. Expected finish: 7.
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Straka, Sepp 58.1%
+10.0 pts
Spread
+0.3
+10.0 pts
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets PGA Tour Golf Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →