Suber, Jackson vs Potgieter, Aldrich prediction for July 1, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Potgieter, Aldrich 86 - Suber, Jackson 83. Suber, Jackson is favored with a 59.1% win probability. The spread is -0.03.
Potgieter, Aldrich
+0.20
Strokes Gained / Round
VS
H2H • John Deere Classic
Suber, Jackson
+0.17
Strokes Gained / Round
Head-to-Head Win Probability
Potgieter, AldrichSuber, Jackson
-120
Best Odds
+8.3%
Edge
1.0u MEDIUM
Sizing
Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile
Suber, Jackson
768390
Potgieter, Aldrich
798693
Tournament Context
Event
John Deere Classic
Course
TPC Deere Run
Field
144 players
Wind
14 mph
Temp
92°F
Conditions
harder (+0.8)
Player Profile — Suber, Jackson
Strokes Gained
+0.17/round
Tour Avg
Course Fit
good
+0.176 SG adj
Expected Finish
83th / 144
Matchup Analysis
Suber, Jackson
+0.17 SG
EF 83th
Skill Gap
-0.03 SG/round
essentially a coin flip
Potgieter, Aldrich
+0.20 SG
EF 86th · Tour Avg
Edge Breakdown
Our Model
59.1%
Books Say
54.5%
Edge
+8.3%
Suber, Jackson vs Potgieter, Aldrich: Model gives Suber, Jackson 59.1% win probability vs 54.5% implied (+8.3% edge). Expected finish: 83.
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Suber, Jackson 59.1%
+8.3 pts
Spread
-0.0
+8.3 pts
More Projections Today
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets PGA Tour Golf Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →