Yellamaraju, Sudarshan vs McCarthy, Denny prediction for July 1, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects McCarthy, Denny 77 - Yellamaraju, Sudarshan 79. Yellamaraju, Sudarshan is favored with a 54.6% win probability. The spread is -0.13.
McCarthy, Denny
+0.59
Strokes Gained / Round
VS
H2H • John Deere Classic
Yellamaraju, Sudarshan
+0.46
Strokes Gained / Round
Head-to-Head Win Probability
McCarthy, DennyYellamaraju, Sudarshan
-105
Best Odds
+3.7%
Edge
1.0u LOW
Sizing
Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile
Yellamaraju, Sudarshan
727986
McCarthy, Denny
707784
Tournament Context
Event
John Deere Classic
Course
TPC Deere Run
Field
144 players
Wind
14 mph
Temp
92°F
Conditions
harder (+0.8)
Player Profile — Yellamaraju, Sudarshan
Strokes Gained
+0.46/round
Tour Avg
Course Fit
neutral
+0.029 SG adj
Expected Finish
79th / 144
Matchup Analysis
Yellamaraju, Sudarshan
+0.46 SG
EF 79th
Skill Gap
-0.13 SG/round
tight edge for McCarthy, Denny
McCarthy, Denny
+0.59 SG
EF 77th · Above Avg
Edge Breakdown
Our Model
54.6%
Books Say
51.2%
Edge
+3.7%
Yellamaraju, Sudarshan vs McCarthy, Denny: Model gives Yellamaraju, Sudarshan 54.6% win probability vs 51.2% implied (+6.7% edge). Skill advantage: -0.13 SG/round. Expected finish: 79. AI: poor recent form; poor course history.
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Yellamaraju, Sudarshan 54.6%
+3.7 pts
Spread
-0.1
+3.7 pts
More Projections Today
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets PGA Tour Golf Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →