PGA Tour Golf

Young, Cameron vs Lee, Min Woo Prediction

May 1, 2026

10,000 Monte Carlo simulations

Young, Cameron vs Lee, Min Woo prediction for May 1, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Lee, Min Woo 26 - Young, Cameron 17. Young, Cameron is favored with a 71.9% win probability. The spread is 0.8.

Lee, Min Woo
+1.08
Strokes Gained / Round
VS H2H • Cadillac Championship
Young, Cameron
+1.87
Strokes Gained / Round
Head-to-Head Win Probability
28.1%
71.9%
Lee, Min WooYoung, Cameron
-166
Best Odds
+15.3%
Edge
2.0u ELITE
Sizing
FINALLee, Min Woo (T18) def Young, Cameron (T26)

Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile

Young, Cameron
101724
Lee, Min Woo
192633

Tournament Context

Event
Cadillac Championship
Course
Trump National Doral (Blue Monster)
Field
72 players

Player Profile — Young, Cameron

Strokes Gained
+1.87/round
World Class
Course Fit
good
+0.272 SG adj
Expected Finish
17th / 72

Matchup Analysis

Young, Cameron
+1.87 SG
EF 17th
Skill Gap
+0.80 SG/round
large edge for Young, Cameron
Lee, Min Woo
+1.08 SG
EF 26th · Tour Elite

Edge Breakdown

Our Model
71.9%
Books Say
62.4%
Edge
+15.3%

Young, Cameron vs Lee, Min Woo: Model gives Young, Cameron 71.9% win probability vs 62.4% implied (+15.3% edge). Skill advantage: +0.80 SG/round. Expected finish: 17.

Edge Analysis

Moneyline
Young, Cameron 71.9%
+15.3 pts
Spread
+0.8
+15.3 pts
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets PGA Tour Golf Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →

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