Bilibili Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas prediction for May 3, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 20,000 game iterations and projects Ninjas in Pyjamas 0 - Bilibili Gaming 3. Bilibili Gaming is favored with a 87.1% win probability. Most likely series score: 3-0 (Best of 5).
Ninjas in Pyjamas
0
Projected Maps
VS
Bo5 • Unknown
Bilibili Gaming
3
Projected Maps
Series Win Probability
Ninjas in PyjamasBilibili Gaming
3-0
Most Likely Score
VERY_HIGH
Confidence
20,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 77.3% (7,109 games)
Team Profiles
Bilibili Gaming
Early
55%
Mid
58%
Late
62%
Elo: 1765 · 🗡️ Skirmish · Record: 78-22 (78%)
Ninjas in Pyjamas
Early
51%
Mid
48%
Late
47%
Elo: 1580 · 📈 Scaling · Record: 16-21 (43%)
Score Distribution
Bilibili Gaming winsNinjas in Pyjamas wins
0-3
1.6%
1-3
4.8%
2-3
6.5%
3-0
35.9%
3-1
31.1%
3-2
20.0%
Advantage Breakdown
Player +1.0%Draft +1.1%Phase +1.0%Context +1.0%
Key Factors
- Bilibili Gaming holds a significant Elo advantage (186 pts)
- Bilibili Gaming leads the H2H record 2-1
Market Odds
Bilibili Gaming
-2000
Edge: -8.6%
Ninjas in Pyjamas
+900
Edge: +29.0%
🎯 Projection: Ninjas in Pyjamas ML @ +900 · Edge +29.0%
championship_v2.1 · 20,000 sims · Uncertainty: 0.20
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets League of Legends Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 20,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →