FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion prediction for May 3, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 20,000 game iterations and projects Shopify Rebellion 0 - FlyQuest 2. FlyQuest is favored with a 82.4% win probability. Most likely series score: 2-0 (Best of 3).
Shopify Rebellion
0
Projected Maps
VS
Bo3 • LCS
FlyQuest
2
Projected Maps
Series Win Probability
Shopify RebellionFlyQuest
2-0
Most Likely Score
VERY_HIGH
Confidence
20,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 73.6% (7,109 games)
Team Profiles
FlyQuest
Early
43%
Mid
54%
Late
56%
Elo: 1528 · ⚔️ Teamfight · Record: 36-20 (64%)
Shopify Rebellion
Early
42%
Mid
46%
Late
43%
Elo: 1173 · ⚔️ Teamfight · Record: 9-17 (35%)
Score Distribution
FlyQuest winsShopify Rebellion wins
0-2
7.5%
1-2
10.0%
2-0
51.1%
2-1
31.3%
Advantage Breakdown
Player +2.2%Draft -0.1%Phase +0.8%Context +1.1%
Key Factors
- FlyQuest holds a significant Elo advantage (356 pts)
- FlyQuest holds a slight edge in player quality
- FlyQuest is in stronger recent form
Market Odds
FlyQuest
-285
Edge: +11.4%
Shopify Rebellion
+210
Edge: -45.6%
🎯 Projection: FlyQuest ML @ -285 · Edge +11.4%
championship_v2.1 · 20,000 sims · Uncertainty: 0.28
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets League of Legends Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 20,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →