Winthrop University vs Citadel Gaming prediction for May 15, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 20,000 game iterations and projects Citadel Gaming 0 - Winthrop University 2. Winthrop University is favored with a 57.2% win probability. Most likely series score: 2-0 (Best of 3).
Citadel Gaming
0
Projected Maps
VS
Bo3 • NACL
Winthrop University
2
Projected Maps
Series Win Probability
Citadel GamingWinthrop University
2-0
Most Likely Score
LOW
Confidence
20,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 43.7% (9,096 games)
Team Profiles
Winthrop University
Early
62%
Mid
55%
Late
59%
Elo: 1442 · ⚔️ Teamfight · Record: 9-4 (69%)
Citadel Gaming
Early
40%
Mid
36%
Late
30%
Elo: 1367 · ⚔️ Teamfight · Record: 0-5 (0%)
Score Distribution
Winthrop University winsCitadel Gaming wins
0-2
26.7%
1-2
15.7%
2-0
31.5%
2-1
26.1%
Advantage Breakdown
Draft +0.5%Phase +1.4%Context -0.1%
Key Factors
- Winthrop University has a moderate rating edge (75 Elo)
championship_v2.1 · 20,000 sims · Uncertainty: 0.36
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets League of Legends Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 20,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →