Disguised vs Dignitas prediction for May 9, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 20,000 game iterations and projects Dignitas 0 - Disguised 2. Disguised is favored with a 74.2% win probability. Most likely series score: 2-0 (Best of 3).
Dignitas
0
Projected Maps
VS
Bo3 • LCS
Disguised
2
Projected Maps
Series Win Probability
DignitasDisguised
2-0
Most Likely Score
HIGH
Confidence
20,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 54.5% (8,214 games)
Team Profiles
Disguised
Early
54%
Mid
42%
Late
37%
Elo: 1376 · ⚔️ Teamfight · Record: 6-22 (21%)
Dignitas
Early
48%
Mid
42%
Late
36%
Elo: 1026 · ⚔️ Teamfight · Record: 4-17 (19%)
Score Distribution
Disguised winsDignitas wins
0-2
11.0%
1-2
14.8%
2-0
41.8%
2-1
32.4%
Advantage Breakdown
Player -0.8%Draft -0.6%Phase +0.5%Context +0.3%
Key Factors
- Disguised holds a significant Elo advantage (350 pts)
- Disguised is in stronger recent form
Market Odds
Disguised
-125
Edge: +33.6%
Dignitas
-105
Edge: -49.7%
🎯 Projection: Disguised ML @ -125 · Edge +33.6%
championship_v2.1 · 20,000 sims · Uncertainty: 0.33
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets League of Legends Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 20,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →