Ei Nerd Esports vs Estral Esports prediction for May 11, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 20,000 game iterations and projects Estral Esports 3 - Ei Nerd Esports 1. Estral Esports is favored with a 78.6% win probability. Most likely series score: 1-3 (Best of 5).
Estral Esports
3
Projected Maps
VS
Bo5 • Circuito Desafiante
Ei Nerd Esports
1
Projected Maps
Series Win Probability
Estral EsportsEi Nerd Esports
1-3
Most Likely Score
HIGH
Confidence
20,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 57.2% (8,460 games)
Team Profiles
Ei Nerd Esports
Early
30%
Mid
36%
Late
30%
Elo: 1357 · ⚔️ Teamfight · Record: 0-27 (0%)
Estral Esports
Early
44%
Mid
61%
Late
69%
Elo: 1594 · Record: 23-2 (92%)
Score Distribution
Ei Nerd Esports winsEstral Esports wins
0-3
27.0%
1-3
31.3%
2-3
20.3%
3-0
3.4%
3-1
7.0%
3-2
11.0%
Advantage Breakdown
Player +0.3%Draft -0.6%Phase -1.3%Context +1.3%
Key Factors
- Estral Esports holds a significant Elo advantage (237 pts)
Market Odds
Ei Nerd Esports
+302
Edge: -14.0%
Estral Esports
-721
Edge: -10.5%
championship_v2.1 · 20,000 sims · Uncertainty: 0.32
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets League of Legends Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 20,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →