NightBirds vs eSuba prediction for May 16, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 20,000 game iterations and projects eSuba 0 - NightBirds 2. NightBirds is favored with a 73.8% win probability. Most likely series score: 2-0 (Best of 3).
eSuba
0
Projected Maps
VS
Bo3 • Hitpoint Masters
NightBirds
2
Projected Maps
Series Win Probability
eSubaNightBirds
2-0
Most Likely Score
HIGH
Confidence
20,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 55.3% (9,273 games)
Team Profiles
NightBirds
Elo: 1714 · ⚡ Early Aggro · Record: 10-4 (71%)
eSuba
Elo: 1607 · ⚡ Early Aggro · Record: 5-2 (71%)
Score Distribution
NightBirds winseSuba wins
0-2
11.0%
1-2
15.2%
2-0
42.3%
2-1
31.6%
Advantage Breakdown
Player +0.4%Draft +0.2%Phase +0.5%Context +0.3%
Key Factors
- NightBirds holds a significant Elo advantage (106 pts)
Market Odds
NightBirds
-1078
Edge: -19.3%
eSuba
+572
Edge: +75.7%
🎯 Projection: eSuba ML @ +572 · Edge +75.7%
championship_v2.1 · 20,000 sims · Uncertainty: 0.40
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets League of Legends Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 20,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →