League of Legends

Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOUD Prediction

May 9, 2026

20,000 Monte Carlo simulations

Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOUD prediction for May 9, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 20,000 game iterations and projects LOUD 1 - Vivo Keyd Stars 3. Vivo Keyd Stars is favored with a 63.0% win probability. Most likely series score: 3-1 (Best of 5).

LOUD
1
Projected Maps
VS Bo5 • CBLOL
Vivo Keyd Stars
3
Projected Maps
Series Win Probability
37.0%
63.0%
LOUDVivo Keyd Stars
3-1
Most Likely Score
MEDIUM
Confidence
20,000
Simulations
FINALLOUD 3 — Vivo Keyd Stars 1
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 47.1% (8,214 games)

Team Profiles

Vivo Keyd Stars
Early
46%
Mid
53%
Late
54%
Elo: 1462 · Record: 31-21 (60%)
LOUD
Early
47%
Mid
44%
Late
40%
Elo: 1413 · Record: 20-55 (27%)

Score Distribution

Vivo Keyd Stars winsLOUD wins
0-3
7.1%
1-3
14.0%
2-3
15.9%
3-0
17.1%
3-1
23.5%
3-2
22.4%

Advantage Breakdown

Player -0.1%Draft +0.1%Phase +0.5%Context -2.0%

Key Factors

Market Odds

Vivo Keyd Stars
-114
Edge: +18.3%
LOUD
-107
Edge: -28.4%
🎯 Projection: Vivo Keyd Stars ML @ -114 · Edge +18.3%
championship_v2.1 · 20,000 sims · Uncertainty: 0.23
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets League of Legends Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 20,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →

Want Premium Predictions?

Get full access to all picks, detailed game-by-game analysis, and Kelly-optimized unit sizing across 9 leagues.

Go Premium Free Picks