Team Liquid vs Shopify Rebellion prediction for April 16, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 20,000 game iterations and projects Shopify Rebellion 0 - Team Liquid 3. Team Liquid is favored with a 87.0% win probability. Most likely series score: 3-0 (Best of 5).
Shopify Rebellion
0
Projected Maps
VS
Bo5 • Unknown
Team Liquid
3
Projected Maps
Series Win Probability
Shopify RebellionTeam Liquid
3-0
Most Likely Score
VERY_HIGH
Confidence
20,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 65.2% (3,807 games)
Team Profiles
Team Liquid
Early
47%
Mid
49%
Late
49%
Elo: 1524 · ⚔️ Teamfight · Record: 25-28 (47%)
Shopify Rebellion
Early
42%
Mid
46%
Late
43%
Elo: 1156 · ⚔️ Teamfight · Record: 9-17 (35%)
Score Distribution
Team Liquid winsShopify Rebellion wins
0-3
1.6%
1-3
4.8%
2-3
6.6%
3-0
36.4%
3-1
30.9%
3-2
19.7%
Advantage Breakdown
Player +0.9%Phase +0.7%Context +0.8%
Key Factors
- Team Liquid holds a significant Elo advantage (369 pts)
- Team Liquid is in stronger recent form
Market Odds
Team Liquid
-350
Edge: +11.9%
Shopify Rebellion
+250
Edge: -54.5%
🎯 Projection: Team Liquid ML @ -350 · Edge +11.9%
championship_v2.1 · 20,000 sims · Uncertainty: 0.35
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets League of Legends Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 20,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →