Ultra Prime vs EDward Gaming prediction for April 30, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 20,000 game iterations and projects EDward Gaming 2 - Ultra Prime 0. EDward Gaming is favored with a 64.8% win probability. Most likely series score: 0-2 (Best of 3).
EDward Gaming
2
Projected Maps
VS
Bo3 • LPL
Ultra Prime
0
Projected Maps
Series Win Probability
EDward GamingUltra Prime
0-2
Most Likely Score
MEDIUM
Confidence
20,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 47.5% (6,458 games)
Team Profiles
Ultra Prime
Early
67%
Mid
45%
Late
43%
Elo: 1264 · ⚔️ Teamfight · Record: 5-10 (33%)
EDward Gaming
Early
62%
Mid
50%
Late
50%
Elo: 1466 · ⚔️ Teamfight · Record: 4-4 (50%)
Score Distribution
Ultra Prime winsEDward Gaming wins
0-2
35.9%
1-2
29.0%
2-0
14.9%
2-1
20.2%
Advantage Breakdown
Player +0.1%Draft -0.2%Phase -1.0%Context -0.5%
Key Factors
- EDward Gaming holds a significant Elo advantage (202 pts)
Market Odds
Ultra Prime
+210
Edge: +9.0%
EDward Gaming
-285
Edge: -12.4%
🎯 Projection: Ultra Prime ML @ +210 · Edge +9.0%
championship_v2.1 · 20,000 sims · Uncertainty: 0.29
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets League of Legends Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 20,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →