Galions vs SK Gaming prediction for April 30, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 20,000 game iterations and projects SK Gaming 1 - Galions 3. Galions is favored with a 63.9% win probability. Most likely series score: 3-1 (Best of 5).
SK Gaming
1
Projected Maps
VS
Bo5 • Unknown
Galions
3
Projected Maps
Series Win Probability
SK GamingGalions
3-1
Most Likely Score
MEDIUM
Confidence
20,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 47.5% (6,458 games)
Team Profiles
Galions
Elo: 1875 · 🗡️ Skirmish · Record: 10-10 (50%)
SK Gaming
Early
35%
Mid
39%
Late
33%
Elo: 1315 · ⚔️ Teamfight · Record: 6-48 (11%)
Score Distribution
Galions winsSK Gaming wins
0-3
6.4%
1-3
13.9%
2-3
15.9%
3-0
17.8%
3-1
23.7%
3-2
22.4%
Advantage Breakdown
Player +1.1%Draft +0.1%Phase +2.5%Context +0.5%
Key Factors
- Galions holds a significant Elo advantage (560 pts)
- Galions's skirmish style creates a favorable matchup
Market Odds
Galions
+175
Edge: +75.7%
SK Gaming
-230
Edge: -48.2%
🎯 Projection: Galions ML @ +175 · Edge +75.7%
championship_v2.1 · 20,000 sims · Uncertainty: 0.22
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets League of Legends Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 20,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →