Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Harriet Dart prediction for May 19, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Harriet Dart 0 - Leyre Romero Gormaz 0. Leyre Romero Gormaz is favored with a 57.9% win probability.
Harriet Dart
1514
Clay Elo
VS
Clay • WTA
Leyre Romero Gormaz
1455
Clay Elo
Match Win Probability
Harriet DartLeyre Romero Gormaz
Clay
Surface
WTA French Open
Tournament
10,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 56.4% (2,644 games)
Match Context
Tournament
WTA French Open
Surface
Clay
Format
Best of 3 · WTA
Surface Elo Ratings (Clay)
Leyre Romero Gormaz
Harriet Dart
Harriet Dart leads by 60 Elo points on Clay
Serve & Return Analysis
Serve Points Won % (SPW) is the single most predictive metric in tennis. WTA average on Clay: 56.5%
Leyre Romero Gormaz SPW
56.8%
Above tour avg
Harriet Dart SPW
53.3%
Below tour avg
● Leyre Romero Gormaz has a significant serve advantage (+3.5%)
Market Odds & Model Edge
Leyre Romero Gormaz ML
-220
Model: 58%
Edge: -10.9%
Harriet Dart ML
+181
Model: 42%
Edge: +6.5%
Model Projection
Harriet Dart ML +181 · +6.5% edge
Key Matchup Factors
- Harriet Dart has a moderate 60-point Elo edge on Clay
- Clay surface reduces serve dominance — expect more breaks of serve and longer rallies
- Leyre Romero Gormaz has the stronger serve profile on this surface
Surface Elo v1.0 · Barnett-Clarke serve model · 10,000 simulations · WTA
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Leyre Romero Gormaz 57.9%
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More Projections Today
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets ATP/WTA Tennis Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →