Maddison Inglis vs Robin Montgomery prediction for May 18, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Robin Montgomery 0 - Maddison Inglis 0. Robin Montgomery is favored with a 58.5% win probability.
Robin Montgomery
1514
Clay Elo
VS
Clay • WTA
Maddison Inglis
1457
Clay Elo
Match Win Probability
Robin MontgomeryMaddison Inglis
Clay
Surface
WTA French Open
Tournament
10,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 54.7% (2,463 games)
Match Context
Tournament
WTA French Open
Surface
Clay
Format
Best of 3 · WTA
Surface Elo Ratings (Clay)
Maddison Inglis
Robin Montgomery
Robin Montgomery leads by 57 Elo points on Clay
Serve & Return Analysis
Serve Points Won % (SPW) is the single most predictive metric in tennis. WTA average on Clay: 56.5%
Maddison Inglis SPW
54.8%
Below tour avg
Robin Montgomery SPW
57.1%
Above tour avg
● Robin Montgomery has a slight serve edge (+2.4%)
Market Odds & Model Edge
Maddison Inglis ML
+222
Model: 42%
Edge: +10.4%
Robin Montgomery ML
-275
Model: 58%
Edge: -14.8%
Model Projection
Maddison Inglis ML +222 · +10.4% edge
Key Matchup Factors
- Robin Montgomery has a moderate 57-point Elo edge on Clay
- Clay surface reduces serve dominance — expect more breaks of serve and longer rallies
- Robin Montgomery has the stronger serve profile on this surface
Surface Elo v1.0 · Barnett-Clarke serve model · 10,000 simulations · WTA
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Robin Montgomery 58.5%
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More Projections Today
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets ATP/WTA Tennis Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →