Tamara Korpatsch vs Jil Teichmann prediction for May 1, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Jil Teichmann 0 - Tamara Korpatsch 0. Tamara Korpatsch is favored with a 50.7% win probability.
Jil Teichmann
1515
Hard Elo
VS
Hard • WTA
Tamara Korpatsch
1455
Hard Elo
Match Win Probability
Jil TeichmannTamara Korpatsch
Hard
Surface
La Bisbal d'Empordà
Tournament
10,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 58.4% (1,363 games)
Match Context
Tournament
La Bisbal d'Empordà
Surface
Hard
Format
Best of 3 · WTA
Surface Elo Ratings (Hard)
Tamara Korpatsch
Jil Teichmann
Jil Teichmann leads by 61 Elo points on Hard
Serve & Return Analysis
Serve Points Won % (SPW) is the single most predictive metric in tennis. WTA average on Hard: 56.5%
Tamara Korpatsch SPW
53.2%
Below tour avg
Jil Teichmann SPW
52.6%
Below tour avg
● Serve statistics are nearly identical — expect a close match
Market Odds & Model Edge
Tamara Korpatsch ML
-175
Model: 51%
Edge: -12.9%
Jil Teichmann ML
+135
Model: 49%
Edge: +6.7%
Model Projection
Jil Teichmann ML +135 · +6.7% edge
Key Matchup Factors
- Jil Teichmann has a moderate 61-point Elo edge on Hard
- Hard court provides a neutral surface — favors all-court players
- Tamara Korpatsch has the stronger serve profile on this surface
Surface Elo v1.0 · Barnett-Clarke serve model · 10,000 simulations · WTA
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Tamara Korpatsch 50.7%
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets ATP/WTA Tennis Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →