World Cup 2026 · Team

Australia World Cup 2026 Projections

Monte Carlo tournament simulation · 10,000 bracket runs · updated daily

In tournament — next fixture TBD

Tournament Outlook

1869
Elo rating
0.0%
Champion
0.0%
Reach final
0.0%
Reach semis
0.0%
Reach quarters

Australia Match Predictions & Results

DateStageOpponentMatch PredictionResult
2026-06-13First Stagevs TurkeyTurkey vs AustraliaFT
2026-06-19First Stage@ United StatesAustralia vs United StatesL 0–2
2026-06-25First Stage@ ParaguayAustralia vs ParaguayD 0–0
2026-07-03Round of 32vs EgyptEgypt vs AustraliaD 1–1
How these projections are generated: every Australia fixture is modeled with an Elo-seeded Dixon-Coles bivariate-Poisson engine, then the full 48-team bracket is Monte Carlo simulated (10,000 runs) for champion and advancement odds. Probabilities are Bayesian-calibrated. Tournament hub → · How the Soccer model works → · Full methodology →