Tournament Outlook
1806
Elo rating
0.6%
Champion
1.8%
Reach final
5.0%
Reach semis
14.4%
Reach quarters
Turkey Match Predictions & Results
| Date | Stage | Opponent | Match Prediction | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-13 | First Stage | @ Australia | Turkey vs Australia | FT |
| 2026-06-19 | First Stage | vs Paraguay | Paraguay vs Turkey | L 0–1 |
| 2026-06-25 | First Stage | vs United States | United States vs Turkey | W 3–2 |
How these projections are generated: every Turkey fixture is modeled with an
Elo-seeded Dixon-Coles bivariate-Poisson engine,
then the full 48-team bracket is Monte Carlo simulated (10,000 runs) for champion and
advancement odds. Probabilities are Bayesian-calibrated.
Tournament hub → ·
How the Soccer model works → ·
Full methodology →