Tournament Outlook
1825
Elo rating
0.4%
Champion
1.4%
Reach final
3.8%
Reach semis
9.4%
Reach quarters
Austria Match Predictions & Results
| Date | Stage | Opponent | Match Prediction | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-16 | First Stage | vs Jordan | Jordan vs Austria | FT |
| 2026-06-22 | First Stage | @ Argentina | Austria vs Argentina | L 0–2 |
| 2026-06-27 | First Stage | @ Algeria | Austria vs Algeria | D 3–3 |
| 2026-07-02 | Round of 32 | @ Spain | Austria vs Spain | L 0–3 |
How these projections are generated: every Austria fixture is modeled with an
Elo-seeded Dixon-Coles bivariate-Poisson engine,
then the full 48-team bracket is Monte Carlo simulated (10,000 runs) for champion and
advancement odds. Probabilities are Bayesian-calibrated.
Tournament hub → ·
How the Soccer model works → ·
Full methodology →