Tournament Outlook
2222
Elo rating
58.5%
Champion
100.0%
Reach final
100.0%
Reach semis
100.0%
Reach quarters
Spain Match Predictions & Results
| Date | Stage | Opponent | Match Prediction | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-15 | First Stage | vs Cape Verde | Cape Verde vs Spain | D 0–0 |
| 2026-06-21 | First Stage | vs Saudi Arabia | Saudi Arabia vs Spain | W 4–0 |
| 2026-06-26 | First Stage | @ Uruguay | Spain vs Uruguay | W 1–0 |
| 2026-07-02 | Round of 32 | vs Austria | Austria vs Spain | W 3–0 |
| 2026-07-06 | Round of 16 | @ Portugal | Spain vs Portugal | W 1–0 |
| 2026-07-10 | Quarter-final | vs Belgium | Belgium vs Spain | W 2–1 |
| 2026-07-14 | Semi-final | @ France | Spain vs France | W 2–0 |
| 2026-07-19 | Final | vs Argentina | Argentina vs Spain | W 1–0 |
How these projections are generated: every Spain fixture is modeled with an
Elo-seeded Dixon-Coles bivariate-Poisson engine,
then the full 48-team bracket is Monte Carlo simulated (10,000 runs) for champion and
advancement odds. Probabilities are Bayesian-calibrated.
Tournament hub → ·
How the Soccer model works → ·
Full methodology →