World Cup 2026 · Team

Portugal World Cup 2026 Projections

Monte Carlo tournament simulation · 10,000 bracket runs · updated daily

Eliminated — Round of 16

Tournament Outlook

1989
Elo rating
0.0%
Champion
0.0%
Reach final
0.0%
Reach semis
0.0%
Reach quarters

Portugal Match Predictions & Results

DateStageOpponentMatch PredictionResult
2026-06-17First Stagevs DR CongoDR Congo vs PortugalD 1–1
2026-06-23First Stagevs UzbekistanUzbekistan vs PortugalW 5–0
2026-06-27First Stage@ ColombiaPortugal vs ColombiaD 0–0
2026-07-02Round of 32vs CroatiaCroatia vs PortugalW 2–1
2026-07-06Round of 16vs SpainSpain vs PortugalL 0–1
How these projections are generated: every Portugal fixture is modeled with an Elo-seeded Dixon-Coles bivariate-Poisson engine, then the full 48-team bracket is Monte Carlo simulated (10,000 runs) for champion and advancement odds. Probabilities are Bayesian-calibrated. Tournament hub → · How the Soccer model works → · Full methodology →