World Cup 2026 · Team

Cape Verde World Cup 2026 Projections

Monte Carlo tournament simulation · 10,000 bracket runs · updated daily

Eliminated — Round of 32

Tournament Outlook

1615
Elo rating
0.0%
Champion
0.1%
Reach final
0.5%
Reach semis
2.1%
Reach quarters

Cape Verde Match Predictions & Results

DateStageOpponentMatch PredictionResult
2026-06-15First Stage@ SpainCape Verde vs SpainD 0–0
2026-06-21First Stage@ UruguayCape Verde vs UruguayD 2–2
2026-06-26First Stagevs Saudi ArabiaSaudi Arabia vs Cape VerdeD 0–0
2026-07-03Round of 32@ ArgentinaCape Verde vs ArgentinaL 2–3
How these projections are generated: every Cape Verde fixture is modeled with an Elo-seeded Dixon-Coles bivariate-Poisson engine, then the full 48-team bracket is Monte Carlo simulated (10,000 runs) for champion and advancement odds. Probabilities are Bayesian-calibrated. Tournament hub → · How the Soccer model works → · Full methodology →