World Cup 2026 · Team

Belgium World Cup 2026 Projections

Monte Carlo tournament simulation · 10,000 bracket runs · updated daily

Eliminated — Quarter-final

Tournament Outlook

1986
Elo rating
0.0%
Champion
0.0%
Reach final
0.0%
Reach semis
100.0%
Reach quarters

Belgium Match Predictions & Results

DateStageOpponentMatch PredictionResult
2026-06-15First Stagevs EgyptEgypt vs BelgiumD 1–1
2026-06-21First Stagevs IranIran vs BelgiumD 0–0
2026-06-26First Stage@ New ZealandBelgium vs New ZealandW 5–1
2026-07-01Round of 32vs SenegalSenegal vs BelgiumW 3–2
2026-07-06Round of 16@ United StatesBelgium vs United StatesW 4–1
2026-07-10Quarter-final@ SpainBelgium vs SpainL 1–2
How these projections are generated: every Belgium fixture is modeled with an Elo-seeded Dixon-Coles bivariate-Poisson engine, then the full 48-team bracket is Monte Carlo simulated (10,000 runs) for champion and advancement odds. Probabilities are Bayesian-calibrated. Tournament hub → · How the Soccer model works → · Full methodology →