World Cup 2026 · Team

New Zealand World Cup 2026 Projections

Monte Carlo tournament simulation · 10,000 bracket runs · updated daily

Eliminated — Group Stage

Tournament Outlook

1634
Elo rating
0.0%
Champion
0.0%
Reach final
0.0%
Reach semis
0.0%
Reach quarters

New Zealand Match Predictions & Results

DateStageOpponentMatch PredictionResult
2026-06-15First Stage@ IranNew Zealand vs IranD 2–2
2026-06-21First Stagevs EgyptEgypt vs New ZealandL 1–3
2026-06-26First Stagevs BelgiumBelgium vs New ZealandL 1–5
How these projections are generated: every New Zealand fixture is modeled with an Elo-seeded Dixon-Coles bivariate-Poisson engine, then the full 48-team bracket is Monte Carlo simulated (10,000 runs) for champion and advancement odds. Probabilities are Bayesian-calibrated. Tournament hub → · How the Soccer model works → · Full methodology →