World Cup 2026 · Team

Senegal World Cup 2026 Projections

Monte Carlo tournament simulation · 10,000 bracket runs · updated daily

Eliminated — Round of 32

Tournament Outlook

1903
Elo rating
0.0%
Champion
0.0%
Reach final
0.0%
Reach semis
0.0%
Reach quarters

Senegal Match Predictions & Results

DateStageOpponentMatch PredictionResult
2026-06-16First Stage@ FranceSenegal vs FranceL 1–3
2026-06-22First Stage@ NorwaySenegal vs NorwayL 2–3
2026-06-26First Stagevs IraqIraq vs SenegalW 5–0
2026-07-01Round of 32@ BelgiumSenegal vs BelgiumL 2–3
How these projections are generated: every Senegal fixture is modeled with an Elo-seeded Dixon-Coles bivariate-Poisson engine, then the full 48-team bracket is Monte Carlo simulated (10,000 runs) for champion and advancement odds. Probabilities are Bayesian-calibrated. Tournament hub → · How the Soccer model works → · Full methodology →