World Cup 2026 · Team

Iraq World Cup 2026 Projections

Monte Carlo tournament simulation · 10,000 bracket runs · updated daily

Eliminated — Group Stage

Tournament Outlook

1670
Elo rating
0.0%
Champion
0.0%
Reach final
0.0%
Reach semis
0.0%
Reach quarters

Iraq Match Predictions & Results

DateStageOpponentMatch PredictionResult
2026-06-16First Stagevs NorwayNorway vs IraqL 1–4
2026-06-22First Stage@ FranceIraq vs FranceL 0–3
2026-06-26First Stage@ SenegalIraq vs SenegalL 0–5
How these projections are generated: every Iraq fixture is modeled with an Elo-seeded Dixon-Coles bivariate-Poisson engine, then the full 48-team bracket is Monte Carlo simulated (10,000 runs) for champion and advancement odds. Probabilities are Bayesian-calibrated. Tournament hub → · How the Soccer model works → · Full methodology →